Air Transport Fleet Status & Average Age

Let’s see how many aircraft in mid-August 2020 are currently in-service, parked/stored, average age, and how the % in-service/parked varies by region. Overall, ~60% of the fleet is in-service and the average age (active and parked) is ~13.8 years old.

Regionally, China leads the way with ~80% of its fleet in-service. North America has ~65% in-service, Europe ~55%. Latin America has only ~45% in-service.

In the chart below you can see that strong deliveries in the past from emerging growth economies result in a younger fleet. Many of these aircraft in growth economies are under warranty or haven’t had their first engine shop visits or heavy maintenance events. For instance, the average age of the Chinese fleet is just seven years.

The North American fleet averages ~17.7 years of age. Hence, we’ve been in a fleet-renewal phase in North America retiring aging passenger aircraft such as MD80s, 757s, 767s, and replacing them with A320Neos, 737 MAXs, A220s, 787s, and A350s.

For those that love cargo, the data below includes cargo aircraft. But, there are ~2,300 dedicated cargo aircraft with an average age of 26.3 years. If we only look at the passenger fleet (excluding cargo), the average age falls to ~12.7 years.

 

Aerospace MRO Part Choices: New, USM, DER or PMA?

As aerospace OEMs have released their quarterly financial results, we are reminded not only of the impact on revenue from painful OE production cuts but also the importance of aftermarket revenue (including spare sales) to profitability.

Operators & MROs typically have three potential alternatives to new OEM parts. They can purchase used serviceable material (USM), they can consider repairing the part (DER repair), or, they could purchase a PMA if one is available and their policies allow. Which option the customer selects depends upon policies, availability of alternatives, cost of the new OEM part, and its availability.

Pre-COVID 2019 Air Transport MRO spend was ~$87B. Of this, ~$35B (40%) was materials, of which ~$5B was USM, and ~$725M PMA. Part repair (DER or OEM-approved), particularly in engine MRO, is ~$6B+ market.

OEMs, MROs, and specialist suppliers understand this so many offer alternatives to new OEM parts to customers looking for choice and cost savings. Given budgets at airlines and MROs are tight and under scrutiny, it makes sense to evaluate potential options to reduce MRO spend. Note, OEMs do repair parts, and in particular, the engine OEMs are some of the biggest consumers of USM incorporating used material into engine overhauls. hello@naveo.com #NAVEO #Aerospace